Bobxats Baseball Betting News

<< Rockies go for sweep of Mets
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The New York Mets have had their share of troubles during their unwanted beginning to this 2010 campaign. Facing a pitcher who delivered one of the most impressive season debuts of the year his last time out may not help solv

<< Cards aim to further bury winless Astros in series finale
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The only winless team left in baseball, it isn't surprising that the Houston Astros are last in the majors in runs scored. That's good news for St. Louis Cardinals starter Kyle Lohse. Lohse will look to get his season on t

<< Jaidee, Kim share lead in China
Suzhou, China (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Thongchai Jaidee fired an eight-under 64 Thursday and shares the opening-round lead at the China Open with Do-hoon Kim. The 64s for Jaidee and Kim established a new course record, but was one-stroke shy

<< Bulls take final spot in East, will open playoffs Saturday
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The NBA playoff picture is complete and the Chicago Bulls became the last team to secure a berth in the postseason with their 98-89 victory at Charlotte on the final night of the regular season.

Sabres, Bruins open playoffs in Buffalo >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Buffalo Sabres will make their official return to the postseason tonight when the Northeast Division champions host the rival Boston Bruins in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference quarterfinals at HSBC Arena. The Sabres, w

White Sox try to pick up rare series win at Toronto >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Chicago White Sox take aim at a rare series win in Toronto this evening when they wrap up their four-game set against the Blue Jays at Rogers Centre. Chicago entered this series having dropped 10 straight north of the

Jackie Robinson Day festivities highlight Yanks-Angels finale >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Two talented young pitchers are set to make their inaugural starts of the 2010 campaign when the New York Yankees and Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim wrap up a three-game series this evening at Yankee Stadium. Tonight's con

After winless homestand, O's head west to battle A's >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Following a winless homestand, the Baltimore Orioles try to avoid their seventh straight loss this evening when they open a four-game series against the Oakland Athletics at the Coliseum. After dropping two of three in St.

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FOOTBALL BETTING : Crabtree's base deal: six years, $32 million

Football Betting

In the wake of the news that the 49ers have signed receiver Michael Crabtree after an extended holdout, there has been not a hint of the dollars to be paid to Crabtree.

And since this means that his agent hasn't leaked the numbers, it means that his agent feels no specific motivation to do so.

Possibly because his agent isn't all that thrilled to have his name on the deal.

So the numbers will come from sources other than Crabtree's agent. And we've gotten our mitts into them.

Per a league source, Crabtree has signed a six-year, $32 million contract. (The total includes guaranteed money, base salaries, and the one-time incentive based on achieving minimum playing time.)

The deal also includes $17 million in guaranteed money.

As reported elsewhere, the deal can void to five years based on performance triggers, wiping out a final year base salary of $4 million. But they won't be easily reached.

The source tells us that, in his first four seasons (including 2009), Crabtree must either qualify for two Pro Bowls, or he must qualify for one Pro Bowl in one year and he must participate in 80 percent of the offensive snaps in a separate year in which the team makes the playoffs.

In other words, if in 2010 he qualifies for the Pro Bowl and the team makes the playoffs and he participates in 80 percent of the snaps, he'll still need to make it to the Pro Bowl or achieve the 80-percent/playoffs in another season.

Since the chances of Crabtree making the Pro Bowl or participating in 80 percent of the offensive snaps this year is roughly zero percent, he'll have three years to get it done.

And it won't be easy. Frankly, he'll be hard pressed to make it to one Pro Bowl in three years with the likes of Larry Fitzgerald, Calvin Johnson, Anquan Boldin, Steve Smith, the other Steve Smith, Hakeem Nicks, DeSean Jackson, Johnny Knox, Percy Harvin, Greg Jennings, Roddy White, T.J. Houshmandzadeh in the same conference for sportsbook betting.

So, by all appearances, it's a six-year deal. And at $17 million in guaranteed money, the per-year guarantee is a tepid $2.83 million per year.

There's another problem with the deal -- it has no mid-tier incentive package. Instead, the additional $8 million that Crabtree can earn (pushing the max value to six years, $40 million) requires the kind of unrealistic, mega-star performances that no rookie is likely to ever achieve.

So while the contract paid to Packers defensive tackle B.J. Raji covers five years and pays $22.5 million, he has the ability (if he's a solid player) to make up the difference between his base deal and Crabtree's five-year, $28 million haul via the mid-tier incentive package in Raji's deal.

And unless Crabtree meets the performance thresholds necessary to void the sixth year, he'll be stuck under contract for another year at a base salary of only $4 million.

There's one other area of concern with the deal. Crabtree, per the source, received no option bonus. Instead, he has significant money tied to a fairly new device known as a "discretionary salary advance," which unlike an opition bonus is subject to forfeiture if Crabtree decides in a year or two that he wants to hold out for a better deal. (We're also told that the 49ers have included language that would make certain escalators subject to forfeiture, too.)

Meanwhile, the deal falls well short of the mark for which Crabtree and agent Eugene Parker were aiming -- the five-year, $38.25 million contract paid by the Raiders to receiver Darrius Heyward-Bey, the seventh overall pick in the draft.

Even if Crabtree successfully voids the final year, he'll make more than $2 million per year less on average than Heyward-Bey.

Thus, as we explained earlier in the day, this is a deal that Crabtree could have done in July, which would have given him a much better chance of making a contribution to the 49ers during his rookie year.

So while the final outcome can be described as win-win, the broader view suggests that it's really a lose-lose situation.

NFL Betting Lines

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