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Cardinals send Pineiro to hill in Cincinnati

Baseball Betting Lines

07/03/2009 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Joel Pineiro hopes for some run support tonight when the St. Louis Cardinals begin a three-game set with the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park.

Pineiro lost for the ninth time in his last 11 starts on Sunday against the Minnesota Twins, as he allowed five runs (three earned) and eight hits in 6 2/3 innings, dropping him to 6-9 on the year to go along with a 3.44 earned run average.

Over the past two months, though, St. Louis has provided Pineiro with an abysmal 2.34 runs-per-start. His nine losses lead the majors.

Pineiro lost to the Reds earlier in the year and is 3-1 with a 2.97 ERA in five starts against them.

St. Louis, meanwhile, enters tonight's tilt on a high note after winning the final two games of its four-game set with the San Francisco Giants. The Cardinals managed to even the series on Thursday, as Todd Wellemeyer threw 7 1/3 innings to help St. Louis to a 5-2 win.

Wellemeyer (7-7) scattered seven hits and two runs with a walk and six strikeouts for the Cardinals, who had lost six of seven before the two wins.

"Just one consistent delivery to where the ball looked the same," Wellemeyer said of his key to success. "Every pitch looks the same out of your hand, every delivery looks the same. That's how you get them off-balance."

Cincinnati also comes in on a two-game winning streak after Joey Votto's single to left in the bottom of the 10th on Thursday scored Chris Dickerson and gave the Reds a 3-2 win over Arizona.

Votto totaled four hits in all while Dickerson was 2-for-4 with an RBI single of his own as Cincinnati won for the fifth time in seven games.

"Obviously we want to take some sort of momentum going into this Cardinals series this weekend," said Votto. "I think losing today, especially to have not scored a lot of runs and to have disappointed Aaron (Harang) today, would not have been a good thing going into this weekend."

Aaron Harang pitched well, yielding just four hits and two runs over seven full frames. The right-hander, who remains without a win over his last seven starts, walked three and struck out eight. Francisco Cordero (1-2) received the win for pitching a scoreless top half of the 10th.

Cincinnati, tonight, turns to 23-year-old righty Homer Bailey, who will be making his third start of the season, but is coming off his first win of the year. Bailey defeated the Cleveland Indians on Saturday, surrendering three runs and three hits in five innings to lower his ERA to a still-lofty 8.68.

Bailey, though, has been awful in his two starts against the Cardinals, losing both contests, while giving up 12 runs in just 7 1/3 innings of those contests.

Cincinnati has won four of its seven meetings with the Cards this season.


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FOOTBALL BETTING : Crabtree's base deal: six years, $32 million

Football Betting

In the wake of the news that the 49ers have signed receiver Michael Crabtree after an extended holdout, there has been not a hint of the dollars to be paid to Crabtree.

And since this means that his agent hasn't leaked the numbers, it means that his agent feels no specific motivation to do so.

Possibly because his agent isn't all that thrilled to have his name on the deal.

So the numbers will come from sources other than Crabtree's agent. And we've gotten our mitts into them.

Per a league source, Crabtree has signed a six-year, $32 million contract. (The total includes guaranteed money, base salaries, and the one-time incentive based on achieving minimum playing time.)

The deal also includes $17 million in guaranteed money.

As reported elsewhere, the deal can void to five years based on performance triggers, wiping out a final year base salary of $4 million. But they won't be easily reached.

The source tells us that, in his first four seasons (including 2009), Crabtree must either qualify for two Pro Bowls, or he must qualify for one Pro Bowl in one year and he must participate in 80 percent of the offensive snaps in a separate year in which the team makes the playoffs.

In other words, if in 2010 he qualifies for the Pro Bowl and the team makes the playoffs and he participates in 80 percent of the snaps, he'll still need to make it to the Pro Bowl or achieve the 80-percent/playoffs in another season.

Since the chances of Crabtree making the Pro Bowl or participating in 80 percent of the offensive snaps this year is roughly zero percent, he'll have three years to get it done.

And it won't be easy. Frankly, he'll be hard pressed to make it to one Pro Bowl in three years with the likes of Larry Fitzgerald, Calvin Johnson, Anquan Boldin, Steve Smith, the other Steve Smith, Hakeem Nicks, DeSean Jackson, Johnny Knox, Percy Harvin, Greg Jennings, Roddy White, T.J. Houshmandzadeh in the same conference for sportsbook betting.

So, by all appearances, it's a six-year deal. And at $17 million in guaranteed money, the per-year guarantee is a tepid $2.83 million per year.

There's another problem with the deal -- it has no mid-tier incentive package. Instead, the additional $8 million that Crabtree can earn (pushing the max value to six years, $40 million) requires the kind of unrealistic, mega-star performances that no rookie is likely to ever achieve.

So while the contract paid to Packers defensive tackle B.J. Raji covers five years and pays $22.5 million, he has the ability (if he's a solid player) to make up the difference between his base deal and Crabtree's five-year, $28 million haul via the mid-tier incentive package in Raji's deal.

And unless Crabtree meets the performance thresholds necessary to void the sixth year, he'll be stuck under contract for another year at a base salary of only $4 million.

There's one other area of concern with the deal. Crabtree, per the source, received no option bonus. Instead, he has significant money tied to a fairly new device known as a "discretionary salary advance," which unlike an opition bonus is subject to forfeiture if Crabtree decides in a year or two that he wants to hold out for a better deal. (We're also told that the 49ers have included language that would make certain escalators subject to forfeiture, too.)

Meanwhile, the deal falls well short of the mark for which Crabtree and agent Eugene Parker were aiming -- the five-year, $38.25 million contract paid by the Raiders to receiver Darrius Heyward-Bey, the seventh overall pick in the draft.

Even if Crabtree successfully voids the final year, he'll make more than $2 million per year less on average than Heyward-Bey.

Thus, as we explained earlier in the day, this is a deal that Crabtree could have done in July, which would have given him a much better chance of making a contribution to the 49ers during his rookie year.

So while the final outcome can be described as win-win, the broader view suggests that it's really a lose-lose situation.

NFL Betting Lines

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